Station News   Return to : Station News Index  



Logo WxSim GFS and European ECMWF model Mix - Updated


 

Posted on 28th Dec 2022

Our onsite Forecasting Software WxSim, we have now engaged both GFS and European ECMWF model Data Mix of 50/50% on Dec 27th 2022. Time will tell how this new feature performs, monitor our Forecast v Actual Comparison pages.
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 80% and  GFS 20% on Apr 30th 2023.
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 55% and  GFS 45% on Oct 21st 2023.
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 50% and  GFS 50% on Oct 27th 2023.
After much testing, I determined that GFS Model was producing better results than ECMWF. Another factor was the fact I re-run Forecasts every 3 hrs, which means every other run includes old ECMWF Data. So it was affecting the forecast.
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 10% and  GFS 90% on Oct 29th 2023.
After much more testing and analysis I ended inclusion of ECMWF Mix (For Now).
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 0% and  GFS 100% on Nov 13th 2023.
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 50% and  GFS 50% on Oct 05th 2024.

Yet another disasterouse result with mixing GFS and ECMWF, I am afraid it's the last time I'll betrying ECMWF. I seriously feel there is either something very wrong with the McMahon ECMWF data supplied for my location or ECMWF just can't forecast close for the Southern Hemisphere. However I am leaning toward McMahon data as even when I view forecast for ECMWF vs GFS on Windy they are very close !!
Adjusted to Mix ECMWF 0% and  GFS 0% on Oct 10th 2024.


This information is automatically generated, is not quality controlled and may not update in a timely manner. You accept all risks and responsibility for losses, damages, costs and other consequences resulting directly or indirectly from using this site and any information or material available from it. Tide data is not to be used for the purpose of port operation or general navigation..

Powered by Davis Vantage Pro2 (6163AU)  and   CumulusMX   v 4.3.1 (b4064)   MXUI Template v 2.2.4 by  Silver Acorn     Valid HTML5

BOM